Книга: George Soros, Paul A. Volcker «The Alchemy of Finance»

The Alchemy of Finance

Critical Praise forThe Alchemy of Finance "The Alchemy of Finance joins Reminiscences of a Stock Operator as a timeless instructional guide of the marketplace." ??Paul Tudor Jones From the Foreword to the First Edition "An extraordinary . . . inside look into the decision-making process of the most successful money manager of our time. Fantastic." ??The Wall Street Journal "A breathtakingly brilliant book. Soros is one of the core of masters . . . who can actually begin to digest the astonishing complexity . . . of the game of finance in recent years." ??Esquire "A seminal investment book . . . it should be read, underlined, and thought about page by page, concept by idea. . . . He?s the best pure investor ever . . . probably the finest analyst of the world in our time." ?? Barton M. Biggs Director, BKF Capital Group, Inc. Updated to include a new Preface and...

Издательство: "Wiley" (2003)

ISBN: 978-0-471-44549-4

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George Soros

Infobox Celebrity
name = George Soros



imagesize = 300px
caption = George Soros speaking in Malaysia
birth_date = birth date and age|1930|08|12
birth_place = Budapest, Hungary
death_date =
death_place =
occupation = speculator, investor, philanthropist, political activist
salary =
networth = Gain $9.0 billion ("Forbes") [http://www.forbes.com/lists/2008/10/billionaires08_George-Soros_L9II.html The World's Billionaires -#97 George Soros] , Forbes, March 5, 2008]
spouse = Twice divorced (Annaliese Witschak and Susan Weber Soros)
children = Robert, Andrea, Jonathan, Alexander, Gregory
religion =
website = [http://www.georgesoros.com www.georgesoros.com]
footnotes =

George Soros (pronEng|ˈsɔroʊs or IPA|/ˈsɔrəs/, [ [http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=6150320548187842685 Authors@Google: George Soros ] ] Hungarian IPA2|ˈʃoroʃ) (born August 12, 1930, in Budapest, Hungary, as György Schwartz) is a Hungarian-born American financial speculator, stock investor, philanthropist, and political activist. [William Shawcross, [http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,986919-1,00.html "Turning Dollars into Change,"] Time Magazine, September 1, 1997]

Soros is famously known for "breaking the Bank of England" on Black Wednesday in 1992. With an estimated current net worth of around $9 billion, he is ranked by "Forbes" as the 99th-richest person in the world.

Currently, Soros is chairman of Soros Fund Management and the Open Society Institute and is also a former member of the Board of Directors of the Council on Foreign Relations. According to his own website, Soros claims his support for the Solidarity labor movement in Poland, as well as the Czechoslovak human rights organization Charter 77, contributed to ending Soviet Union political dominance in those countries. [George Soros, [http://www.georgesoros.com/?q=about_george_soros A Biographical Note] , dated May 2006.] His funding and organization of Georgia's Rose Revolution was considered by Russian and Western observers to have been crucial to its success, although Soros said his role has been "greatly exaggerated." In the United States, he is known for having donated large sums of money in a failed effort to defeat President George W. Bush's bid for re-election in 2004. On BookTV, November 12, 2007, he said that he supports Barack Obama for the Democratic candidate in the 2008 election, but says that John Edwards, Hillary Clinton, or Joe Biden are all fine candidates, as well.

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker wrote in 2003 in the foreword of Soros' book "The Alchemy of Finance":

George Soros has made his mark as an enormously successful speculator, wise enough to largely withdraw when still way ahead of the game. The bulk of his enormous winnings is now devoted to encouraging transitional and emerging nations to become 'open societies,' open not only in the sense of freedom of commerce but - more important - tolerant of new ideas and different modes of thinking and behavior.

Biography

Family

George Soros is the son of the Esperantist writer Teodoro Schwartz. Teodoro (also known as Tivadar) was a Hungarian Jew, who was a prisoner of war during and after World War I and eventually escaped from Russia to rejoin his family in Budapest.Kaufman, Michael T., Soros: The Life and Times of a Messianic Billionaire, Alfred A. Knopf: 2002] pn

The family changed its name in 1936 from "Schwartz" to "Soros", in response to growing anti-semitism with the rise of Fascism. Tivadar liked the new name because it is a palindrome and because it has a meaning. Although the specific meaning is left unstated in Kaufmann's biography, in Hungarian, "soros" means "next in line, or designated successor", and in Esperanto, it means "will soar". [Kaufman, Michael T., Soros: The Life and Times of a Messianic Billionaire, Alfred A. Knopf: 2002, p. 24] His son George was taught to speak Esperanto from birth and thus is one of the rare native Esperanto speakers. George Soros later said that he "grew up in a Jewish home", and that his parents were "cautious with their religious roots". [Slater, R.: "Soros: The Unauthorized Biography", page 30] However, Soros's father was proud of his Jewish roots (which can be seen in his memoir on his experiences during the holocaust, "Masquerade").

George Soros has been married and divorced twice, to Annaliese Witschak, and to Susan Weber Soros. He has five children: Robert, Andrea, Jonathan (with his first wife, Annaliese); Alexander, Gregory (with his second wife, Susan). His elder brother Paul Soros, an engineer, is a well-known philanthropist, investor, and New York socialite.

Native Hungary, and move to England

Soros was thirteen years old in March 1944 when Nazi Germany took military control over Hungary [ [http://www.ushmm.org/wlc/article.php?lang=en&ModuleId=10005458 Holocaust Encyclopedia] ] . Soros worked for the Jewish Council for two days, which had been established during the Nazi occupation of Hungary to forcibly carry out Nazi and Hungarian government anti-Jewish measures. Soros later described this time to writer Michael Lewis:

The Jewish Council asked the little kids to hand out the deportation notices. I was told to go to the Jewish Council. And there I was given these small slips of paper...It said report to the rabbi seminary at 9 a.m....And I was given this list of names. I took this piece of paper to my father. He instantly recognized it. This was a list of Hungarian Jewish lawyers. He said, "You deliver the slips of paper and tell the people that if they report they will be deported. [Michael Lewis, "The Speculator: What on earth is multibillionaire George Soros doing throwing wads of money around in Eastern Europe?", "The New Republic", 10 January 1994. See also Kaufman, Michael T., Soros: The Life and Times of a Messianic Billionaire, Alfred A. Knopf: 2002, p. 32-33]

To avoid his son's being apprehended by the Nazis, Soros's father paid a Ministry of Agriculture employee to have Soros spend the summer of 1944 living with him and posing as the godson. Young Soros had to hide his Jewishness even as the official was overseeing the confiscation of Jewish property. [cite news|url=http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9C07E3DA1E3BF935A35751C1A96E958260&sec=&spon=&pagewanted=2
title=He's Seen The Enemy. It Looks Like Him.
accessdate=2008-07-28
date=1998-12-06
work=New York Times
first=Timothy L
last=O'Brien
]

In the following year, Soros survived the battle of Budapest in which Soviet and Nazi forces fought house-to-house through the city. Soros first traded currencies during the Hungarian hyperinflation of 1945–1946.

In 1946, Soros escaped the Soviet occupation by participating in an Esperanto youth congress in the West.Fact|date=May 2008

Soros emigrated to England in 1947 and graduated from the London School of Economics in 1952. While a student of the philosopher Karl Popper, Soros funded himself by taking jobs as a railway porter and a waiter at Quaglino's restaurant where he was told that with hard work he might one day become head waiter. He also worked in a mannequin factory, but was fired for being too slow at putting on the heads. He eventually secured an entry-level position with London merchant bank Singer & Friedlander.

Move to the United States

In 1956 he moved to New York City, where he worked as an arbitrage trader with F. M. Mayer from 1956 to 1959 and as an analyst with Wertheim and Company from 1959 to 1963. Throughout this time, Soros developed a philosophy of "reflexivity" based on the ideas of Karl Popper. Reflexivity, as used by Soros, is the belief that the action of beholding the valuation of any market by its participants affects said valuation of the market in a procyclical 'virtuous or vicious' circle.cite book|author=Soros, George|title=The New Paradigm for Financial Markets |publisher=Public Affairs, New York |year=2008|id=ISBN 978-1-58648-683-9 ] Soros realized, however, that he would not make any money from the concept of reflexivity until he went into investing on his own. He began to investigate how to deal in investments. From 1963 to 1973 he worked at Arnhold and S. Bleichroeder, where he attained the position of vice-president. Soros finally concluded that he was a better investor than he was a philosopher or an executive. In 1967 he persuaded the company to set up an offshore investment fund, First Eagle, for him to run; in 1969 the company founded a second fund for Soros, the Double Eagle hedge fund.

When investment regulations restricted his ability to run the funds as he wished, he quit his position in 1973 and established a private investment company that eventually evolved into the Quantum Fund. He has stated that his intent was to earn enough money on Wall Street to support himself as an author and philosopher - he calculated that $500,000 after five years would be possible and adequate. Five years later, his net worth reached an estimated $11 billion.

He is also a former member of the Carlyle Group.

Business

Soros is the founder of Soros Fund Management. In 1970 he co-founded the Quantum Fund with Jim Rogers. It returned 42.6% per year for the next ten years and created the bulk of the Soros fortune. Rogers retired from the fund in 1980. Other partners have included Victor Niederhoffer and Stanley Druckenmiller.

In late 2006, Soros bought about 2 million shares of Halliburton. [http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=54532]

In 2007, the Quantum Fund returned almost 32%, netting Soros $2.9 billion. [cite news|url=http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/16/business/16wall.html?ex=1366084800&en=1eee7351824a31ce&ei=5124
title=Wall Street Winners Get Billion-Dollar Paydays
accessdate=2008-07-28
date=2008-04-16
first=Jenny
last=Anderson
work=New York Times
]

Currency speculation

On Black Wednesday (September 16, 1992), Soros became immediately famous when he sold short more than $10 billion worth of pounds, profiting from the Bank of England's reluctance to either raise its interest rates to levels comparable to those of other European Exchange Rate Mechanism countries or to float its currency.

Finally, the Bank of England was forced to withdraw the currency out of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism and to devalue the pound sterling, and Soros earned an estimated US$ 1.1 billion in the process. He was dubbed "the man who broke the Bank of England."

"The Times" of Monday, October 26, 1992, quoted Soros as saying: "Our total position by Black Wednesday had to be worth almost $10 billion. We planned to sell more than that. In fact, when Norman Lamont said just before the devaluation that he would borrow nearly $15 billion to defend sterling, we were amused because that was about how much we wanted to sell."

According to Steven Drobny, [Steven Drobny, "Inside the House of Money", John Wiley & Sons: Hoboken, NJ, 2006. ] Stanley Druckenmiller, who traded under Soros, originally saw the weakness in the pound. "Soros' contribution was pushing him to take a gigantic position," in accord with Druckenmiller's own research and instincts.

In 1997, during the Asian financial crisis, then Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir bin Mohamad accused Soros of using the wealth under his control to punish ASEAN for welcoming Myanmar as a member. Later, he called Soros a moron. [ [http://www.asiaweek.com/asiaweek/97/1003/cs1.html A question of openness] (asiaweek.com)] Thai nationals have called Soros "an economic war criminal [cite news|url=http://www.cnn.com/WORLD/asiapcf/9812/04/malaysia.01/index.html|publisher=Time Magazine|title=Financier George Soros urges Mahathir's ouster|date=2008-12-04] " who "sucks the blood from the people". [ [http://www.asiaweek.com/asiaweek/magazine/nations/0,8782,98437,00.html Opportunity Lost] (asiaweek.com)]

Public predictions

Soros' 2008 book, "The New Paradigm for Financial Markets", describes a "superbubble" that has built up over the past 25 years and is now ready to collapse. This is the third in a series of books he's written that have predicted disaster. As he states:

He ascribes his own success to being able to recognize when his predictions are wrong.

Insider trading charges

In 1988, he was asked to join a takeover attempt of the French bank Société Générale. He declined to participate in the bid but did later buy a number of shares in the company. French authorities began an investigation in 1989, and in 2002 a French court ruled that it was insider trading as defined under French securities laws and fined him $2 million, which was the amount that he made using the insider information.

Punitive damages were not sought because of the delay in bringing the case to trial. Soros denied any wrongdoing and said news of the takeover was public knowledge. [http://www.pbs.org/now/transcript/transcript_soros.html David Brancaccio interviews George Soros] , "Now", PBS, September 12, 2003, accessed Feb. 8, 2007.]

His insider trading conviction was upheld by the highest court in France on June 14 2006. [ [http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/06/14/business/soros.php Insider trading conviction of Soros is upheld (International Herald Tribune)] ] In December, 2006 he appealed to the European Court of Human Rights, claiming that the 14 year delay in bringing the case to trial precluded a fair hearing. [ [http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/12/13/bloomberg/bxsoros.php Soros appeals conviction for insider trading, Billionaire takes French conviction to European court] (International Herald Tribune)December 14, 2006]

ports

In 2005, Soros joined a group of investors seeking to buy the Washington Nationals of Major League Baseball's National League. Although he was only a minority partner, some Republican lawmakers suggested that they might tamper with baseball's antitrust exemption if Soros had "any" interest at all in any baseball team, including the Nationals. [ [http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/27/AR2005062701447.html Soros's Nats Bid Irks Republicans ] ] Ultimately, real estate magnate Ted Lerner was selected as the new owner, though baseball stressed that political pressure was not a factor.In 2008, Soros' name was associated with AS Roma, the Italian soccer team. Some speculated that he had bought the club from the Sensi family. However, despite offers by the American businessman, the club was not sold.

Philanthropy

Soros has been active as a philanthropist since the 1970s, when he began providing funds to help black students attend the University of Cape Town in apartheid South Africa, and began funding dissident movements behind the iron curtain.

Soros' philanthropic funding includes efforts to promote non-violent democratization in the post-Soviet states. These efforts, mostly in Central and Eastern Europe, occur primarily through the Open Society Institute (OSI) and national Soros Foundations, which sometimes go under other names (such as the Stefan Batory Foundation in Poland). As of 2003, PBS estimated that he had given away a total of $4 billion. The OSI says it has spent about $400 million annually in recent years.

"Time" magazine in 2007 cited two specific projects - $100 million toward Internet infrastructure for regional Russian universities; and $50 million for the Millennium Promise to eradicate extreme poverty in Africa - while noting that Soros has given $742 million to projects in the U.S., and given away a total of more than $6 billion. [ [http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/time100powergivers/article/0,28804,1616375_1615711_1615683,00.html TIME 100, The Power Givers, George Soros, TIME Magazine, May 14, 2007] accessed May 21, 2007 ]

Other notable projects have included aid to scientists and universities throughout Central and Eastern Europe, help to civilians during the siege of Sarajevo, and Transparency International. Soros also pledged an endowment of €420 million to the Central European University (CEU). The Nobel Peace Prize winner, Muhammad Yunus and his microfinance bank Grameen Bank received support from the OSI.

According to "National Review" [York, Byron, [http://www.nationalreview.com/york/york200502170843.asp Soros Funded Stewart Defense] , "National Review Online", accessed February 7, 2007 ] the Open Society Institute gave $20,000 in September 2002 to the Defense Committee of Lynne Stewart, the lawyer who has defended alleged terrorists in court and was sentenced to 2⅓ years in prison for "providing material support for a terrorist conspiracy" via a press conference for a client. An OSI spokeswoman said "it appeared to us at that time that there was a right-to-counsel issue worthy of our support."

In September 2006, Soros departed from his characteristic sponsorship of democracy building programs, pledging $50 million to the Jeffrey Sachs-led Millennium Promise to help eradicate extreme poverty in Africa. Noting the connection between bad governance and poverty, he remarked on the humanitarian value of the project. [ [http://travel2.nytimes.com/2006/09/13/us/13soros.html Philanthropist Gives $50 Million to Help Aid the Poor in Africa] ]

He received honorary doctoral degrees from the New School for Social Research (New York), the University of Oxford in 1980, the Corvinus University of Budapest, and Yale University in 1991. Soros also received the Yale International Center for Finance Award from the Yale School of Management in 2000 as well as the Laurea Honoris Causa, the highest honor of the University of Bologna in 1995.

Political donations

In an interview with "The Washington Post" on November 11, 2003,Laura Blumenfeld, [http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A24179-2003Nov10?language=printerSoros's Deep Pockets vs. Bush, Financier Contributes $5 Million More in Effort to Oust President] , Washington Post, November 11, 2003; Page A03 ] Soros said that removing President George W. Bush from office was the "central focus of my life" and "a matter of life and death." He said he would sacrifice his entire fortune to defeat President Bush, "if someone guaranteed it", and many continue to state this as Soros's position even after Soros clarified the statement in a Q&A session at the end of his March 3, 2004 address to California's Commonwealth Club.

Soros gave $3 million to the Center for American Progress, committed $5 million to MoveOn, while he and his friend Peter Lewis each gave America Coming Together $10 million. (All were groups that worked to support Democrats in the 2004 election.) On September 28, 2004 he dedicated more money to the campaign and kicked off his own multi-state tour with a speech: "Why We Must Not Re-elect President Bush" [ [http://www.commondreams.org/views04/0928-16.htm Why We Must Not Re-elect President Bush] ] delivered at the National Press Club in Washington, DC. The online transcript to this speech received many hits after Dick Cheney accidentally referred to FactCheck.org as "factcheck.com" in the Vice Presidential debate, causing the owner of that domain to redirect all traffic to Soros's site. [ [http://www.slate.com/id/2107809/ Cheney Drops the Ball] ]

Soros was not a large donor to US political causes until the U.S. presidential election, 2004, but according to the Center for Responsive Politics, during the 2003-2004 election cycle, Soros donated $23,581,000 to various 527 Groups dedicated to defeating President Bush. Despite Soros' efforts, Bush was reelected to a second term as president in U.S. presidential election, 2004.

After Bush's reelection in 2004, Soros and other wealthy liberal political donors backed a new political fundraising group called Democracy Alliance which aims to support the goals of the U.S. Democratic Party. [http://www.capitalresearch.org/pubs/pdf/FW1206.pdf] [web cite|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/07/16/AR2006071600882_pf.html|title=New Alliance Of Democrats Spreads Funding
accessdate=2006-07-17
]

Soros has been criticized for his large donations, as he also pushed for the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act of 2002 which was intended to ban "soft money" contributions to federal election campaigns. Soros has responded that his donations to unaffiliated organizations do not raise the same corruption issues as donations directly to the candidates or political parties.

Harken Energy, a firm partly owned by Soros, did business with George W. Bush in 1986 by buying his oil company, Spectrum 7.

His book, "The Age of Fallibility: Consequences of The War on Terror", was published in June2006. [ [http://www.forbes.com/lifestyle/2006/06/23/soros-billionaires-bush-cz_mm_0623bookreview.html Book review at Forbes.com] ]

Activities in Eastern Europe

According to Neil Clark (writing in the "New Statesman"):

quote|(t)he conventional view, shared by many on the left, is that socialism collapsed in eastern Europe because of its systemic weaknesses and the political elite's failure to build popular support.

That may be partly true, but Soros's role was crucial. From 1979, he distributed $3m a year to dissidents including Poland's Solidarity movement, Charter 77 in Czechoslovakia and Andrei Sakharov in the Soviet Union. In 1984, he founded his first Open Society Institute in Hungary and pumped millions of dollars into opposition movements and independent media|cite web | url = http://www.newstatesman.com/200306020019 | title = Soros Profile | publisher = the New Statesman | first = Neil | last = Clark | accessdate = 2007-06-06

Since the fall of the Soviet Union, Soros' funding has continued to play an important role in the former Soviet sphere. His funding and organization of Georgia's Rose Revolution was considered crucial to its success by Russian and Western observers, although Soros has said that his role has been "greatly exaggerated." [ [http://archive.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2005/5/31/164945.shtml] ] Alexander Lomaia, Secretary of the Georgian Security Council and former Minister of Education and Science, is a former Executive Director of the Open Society Georgia Foundation (Soros Foundation,) overseeing a staff of 50 and a budget of $2,500,000. [ [http://www.oecd.org/document/49/0,2340,en_21571361_36507471_37001521_1_1_1_1,00.html] ]

Former Georgian Foreign Minister Salomé Zourabichvili wrote:

Some Soros-backed initiatives have been banned in Turkmenistan and Russia. Ercis Kurtulus, head of the Social Transparency Movement Association (TSHD) in Turkey, said in an interview that "Soros carried out his will in Ukraine and Georgia by using these NGOs...Last year Russia passed a special law prohibiting NGOs from taking money from foreigners. I think this should be banned in Turkey as well." [ [http://www.globalpolicy.org/ngos/fund/2006/1011puppets.htm] ] In 1997, Soros closed his foundation in Belarus after it was fined $3 million by the government for tax and currency violations. Soros called the fines part of a campaign to "destroy independent society." [ [http://query.nytimes.com/gst/fullpage.html?res=9400E0D91530F937A3575AC0A961958260] ]

Activities in Africa

The Open Society Initiative for Southern Africa is a Soros-affiliated organization. [http://www.osf.org.za/home/] Its director for Zimbabwe is Godfrey Kanyenze, who also directs the Zimbabwe Congress of Trade Unions (ZCTU), which was the main force behind the founding of the Movement for Democratic Change, the principal indigenous organization promoting Regime change in Zimbabwe.

Drug liberalization

Soros has funded worldwide efforts to promote Drug liberalization. In 2008, Soros funded a ballot measure in the state of Massachusetts to decriminalize marijuana possession known as the Massachusetts Sensible Marijuana Policy Initiative. Of the $429,000 raised to promote the measure in 2007, Soros donated $400,000. Soros has also funded similar measures in California, Alaska, Oregon, Washington, Colorado, Nevada and Maine. [LeBlanc, Steve, [http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hQsksgZ-IN6nYS3jJ2NcqpufBlLgD92QQPS00 Soros behind Mass. effort to decriminalize pot] , Associated Press, August 27, 2008] Among the drug decriminalization groups that have received funding from Soros are the Lindesmith Center and Drug Policy Foundation. [ [http://norml.org/index.cfm?Group_ID=4416 http://norml.org/index.cfm?Group_ID=4416] , National Organization for the Reform of Marijuana Laws]

Death and dying

The Project on Death in America, active from 2001-2003, was one of the Open Society Institute's projects, which sought to "understand and transform the culture and experience of dying and bereavement." [ [http://www.soros.org/death Project on Death in America] ] In 1994, Soros delivered a speech in which he reported that he offered to help his mother, a member of the Hemlock Society, commit suicide. [ [http://web.archive.org/web/20010622072255/http://www.soros.org/death/george_soros.htm] ] In the same speech, he also endorsed the Oregon Death with Dignity Act, [ [http://web.archive.org/web/20020325032428/www.soros.org/death/george_soros3.htm] ] the campaign for which he helped fund. [ [http://findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1252/is_n20_v124/ai_20520550] ]

Gun control

Directly and through his organization Open Society Institute (OSI), he has funded various gun control organizations, such as the Tides Foundation, the HELP Network and SAFE Colorado. He and seven friends founded their own political committee — "Campaign for a Progressive Future" — and spent $2 million on political activities in 2000, including providing the prime financial backing for the Million Mom March. OSI has supported UN efforts to create international gun control regulations and has singled out the United States for failing to go along with other countries on international gun control measures.Fact|date=December 2007

Philosophy

Education and beliefs

Soros has a keen interest in philosophy, and his philosophical outlook is largely influenced by Karl Popper, under whom he studied at the London School of Economics. His Open Society Institute is named after Popper's two volume work, "The Open Society and Its Enemies", and Soros's ongoing philosophical commitment to the principle of fallibilism (that anything he believes may in fact be wrong, and is therefore to be questioned and improved) stems from Popper's philosophy. Some criticswho argue that Soros' static political beliefs appear to conflict with the critical rationalism espoused by Popper, though Soros argues that these beliefs were arrived at through such rationalism. Soros does not consider himself religious, and has stated that he does not believe in God. [Steve Kroft: Are you a religious man? Soros: No. Kroft: Do you believe in God? Soros: No. "60 Minutes", broadcast December 20, 1998.]

Reflexivity, financial markets, and economic theory

Soros' writings focus heavily on the concept of reflexivity, where the biases of individuals enter into market transactions, potentially changing the fundamentals of the economy. Soros argues that such transitions in the fundamentals of the economy are typically marked by disequilibrium rather than equilibrium, and that the conventional economic theory of the market (the 'efficient market hypothesis') does not apply in these situations. Soros has popularized the concepts of "dynamic disequilibrium", "static disequilibrium", and "near-equilibrium" conditions.

Reflexivity is based on three main ideas:
# Reflexivity is best observed under special conditions where investor bias grows and spreads throughout the investment arena. Examples of factors that may give rise to this bias include (a) equity leveraging or (b) the trend-following habits of speculators.
# Reflexivity appears intermittently since it is most likely to be revealed under certain conditions; i.e., the equilibrium process's character is best considered in terms of probabilities.
# Investors' observation of and participation in the capital markets may at times influence valuations AND fundamental conditions or outcomes.

A current example of reflexivity in modern financial markets is that of the debt and equity of housing markets. Lenders began to make more money available to more people in the 1990s to buy houses. More people bought houses with this larger amount of money, thus increasing the prices of these houses. Lenders looked at their balance sheets which not only showed that they had made more loans, but that their equity backing the loans--the value of the houses, had gone up (because more money was chasing the same amount of housing, relatively). Thus they lent out more money because their balance sheets looked good, and prices went up more, and they lent more, etc. Prices increased rapidly, and lending standards were relaxed. The salient issue regarding reflexivity is that it explains why markets gyrate over time, and do not just stick to equilibrium--they tend to overshoot or undershoot.

View of potential problems in the free market system

Despite working as an investor and currency speculator, he argues that the current system of financial speculation undermines healthy economic development in many underdeveloped countries. Soros blames many of the world's problems on the failures inherent in what he characterizes as market fundamentalism. His opposition to many aspects of globalization has made him a controversial figure.

Victor Niederhoffer said of Soros: "Most of all, George believed even then in a mixed economy, one with a strong central international government to correct for the excesses of self-interest."

Soros claims to draw a distinction between being a participant in the market and working to change the rules that market participants must follow.

Views on antisemitism

At a Jewish forum in New York City, Soros partially attributed a recent resurgence of antisemitism to the policies of Israel and the United States, and to successful Jews such as himself:

There is a resurgence of anti-Semitism in Europe. The policies of the Bush administration and the Sharon administration contribute to that. It's not specifically anti-Semitism, but it does manifest itself in anti-Semitism as well. I'm critical of those policies... If we change that direction, then anti-Semitism also will diminish. I can't see how one could confront it directly... I'm also very concerned about my own role because the new anti-Semitism holds that the Jews rule the world... As an unintended consequence of my actions... I also contribute to that image. [ [http://www.jta.org/page_view_story.asp?intarticleid=13428 jta.org] ]
In a subsequent article for the "New York Review of Books", Soros emphasized that
I do not subscribe to the myths propagated by enemies of Israel and I am not blaming Jews for anti-Semitism. Anti-Semitism predates the birth of Israel. Neither Israel's policies nor the critics of those policies should be held responsible for anti-Semitism. At the same time, I do believe that attitudes toward Israel are influenced by Israel's policies, and attitudes toward the Jewish community are influenced by the pro-Israel lobby's success in suppressing divergent views. [Soros, George. [http://www.nybooks.com/articles/20030 "On Israel, America and AIPAC."] "New York Review of Books", April 12, 2007.]

Books

Authored or co-authored

*"The New Paradigm for Financial Markets: The Credit Crisis of 2008 and What It Means" (PublicAffairs, 2008) ISBN 978-1586486839
*"The Age of Fallibility: Consequences of the War on Terror" (PublicAffairs, 2006) ISBN 1-58648-359-1
*With MoveOn.org," MoveOn's 50 Ways to Love Your Country: How to Find Your Political Voice and Become a Catalyst for Change" Inner Ocean Publishing, 2004 ISBN 1-930722-29-X
*"The Bubble of American Supremacy: Correcting the Misuse of American Power" (PublicAffairs, 2003) ISBN 1-58643-217-3 (paperback; PublicAffairs, 2004; ISBN 1-58648-292-0)
*"George Soros on Globalization" (PublicAffairs, 2002) ISBN 1-58648-125-8 (paperback; PublicAffairs, 2005; ISBN 1-52648-278-5)
*"Open Society: Reforming Global Capitalism" (PublicAffairs, 2001) ISBN 1-58648-039-7
*With Mark Amadeus Notturno, "Science and the Open Society: The Future of Karl Popper's Philosophy" (Central European University Press, 2000) ISBN 963-9116-69-6 (paperback: Central European University Press, 2000; ISBN 943-9116-70-X)
*"The Crisis of Global Capitalism: Open Society Endangered" (PublicAffairs, 1998) ISBN 1-891220-27-4
*"Soros on Soros: Staying Ahead of the Curve" (John Wiley, 1995) ISBN 0-471-12014-6 (paperback; Wiley, 1995; ISBN 0-371-11977-6)
*"Underwriting Democracy: Encouraging Free Enterprise and Democratic Reform Among the Soviets and in Eastern Europe" (Free Press, 1991) ISBN 0-02-930285-4 (paperback; PublicAffairs, 2004; ISBN 1-58948-227-0)
*"Opening the Soviet System" (Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 1990) ISBN 0-297-82155-9 (paperback: Perseus Books, 1996; ISBN 0-8133-1205-1)
*"The Alchemy of Finance" (Simon & Schuster, 1988) ISBN 0-671-66338-4 (paperback: Wiley, 2003; ISBN 0-471-44549-5)

Biographies

*"Soros: The Life and Times of a Messianic Billionaire" by Michael T. Kaufman (Alfred A. Knopf, 2002) ISBN 0-375-40585-2
*"Soros: The Unauthorized Biography, the Life, Times and Trading Secrets of the World's Greatest Investor" by Robert Slater (McGraw-Hill, 1997) ISBN 0-7863-1247-5

Journalism

Authored

*George Soros, [http://www.nybooks.com/articles/20030 On Israel, America and AIPAC] , New York Review of Books, April 12, 2007.
*George Soros, [http://www.koreaherald.co.kr/SITE/data/html_dir/2003/03/13/200303130033.asp "The Bubble of American Supremacy"] , The Korea Herald, March 12, 2003.
*George Soros, " [http://www.theatlantic.com/issues/2003/12/soros.htm The Bubble of American Supremacy] ", Atlantic Monthly, December 2003.
*George Soros, [http://assistivemedia.org/politics_and_public_issues/the_bubble_of_american_suprema.html "The Bubble of American Supremacy"] , audio recording of the Atlantic Monthly article via "Assistive Media", read by Grover Gardner, 18 minutes.
*George Soros [http://lists.essential.org/pipermail/stop-imf/2002q3/000687.html "Soros on Brazil"] , Financial Times, Aug 13, 2002.
*George Soros, [http://www.cdi.org/russia/johnson/4135.html "Bitter Thoughts with Faith in Russia"] , Moskovsky Novosti (Moscow News), translated from the Russian by Olga Kryazheva, February 27, 2000.
*George Soros, [http://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/soros.htm "The Capitalist Threat"] , Atlantic Monthly, February 1997

About

*Stephen Adams [http://www.family.org/cforum/citizenmag/coverstory/a0033418.cfm "Furious George"] on Citizen - Family Issues in Policy and Culture
*John Authers, [http://www.ft.com/cms/s/304f1e6e-253b-11dd-a14a-000077b07658,Authorised=false.html?_i_location=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcms%2Fs%2F0%2F304f1e6e-253b-11dd-a14a-000077b07658.html%3Fnclick_check%3D1&_i_referer=&nclick_check=1 Book Review] , "A successful prophet of the markets," Financial Times, May 19 2008.
*Laura Blumenfeld, " [http://www.msnbc.com/news/991865.asp?vts=111120030842&cp1=1 Billionaire Soros Takes On Bush] ", MSNBC, November 11, 2003
*Neil Clark [http://www.mindfully.org/WTO/2003/George-Soros-Statesman2jun03.htm Analysis of Soros' role in Eastern Europe] from "New Statesman"
*James Dellinger and Matthew Vadum, [http://www.capitalresearch.org/pubs/pdf/FW1206.pdf "George Soros's Democracy Alliance: In Search Of A Permanent Democratic Majority,"] Foundation Watch, December 2006
*Malcolm Gladwell, "Blowing Up," New Yorker Magazine, April 22 & 29, 2002, at [http://www.gladwell.com/2002/2002_04_29_a_blowingup.htm gladwell.com] .
*John Horvath [http://www.heise.de/tp/english/inhalt/te/1292/1.html The Soros Effect on Central and Eastern Europe]
*Matt Welch, " [http://www.reason.com/links/links120803.shtml Open Season on 'Open Society': Why an anti-communist Holocaust survivor is being demonized as a Socialist, Self-hating Jew] " Reason magazine, December 8, 2003
*Martin Peretz, "Tyran-a-Soros: The Madness of King George," The New Republic, February 12, 2007.
* [http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,986206-7,00.html TIME's 25 Most Influential Americans, TIME Magazine April 21, 1997] . Accessed May 21, 2007.
* [http://www.time.com/time/specials/2007/time100powergivers/article/0,28804,1616375_1615711_1615683,00.html The TIME 100, The Power Givers, George Soros, TIME Magazine May 14, 2007] accessed May 21, 2007.

Scholarly perspectives

*cite journal |last=Bryant |first=C. G. A. |authorlink= |coauthors= |year=2002 |month= |title=George Soros's theory of reflexivity: a comparison with the theories of Giddens and Beck and a consideration of its practical value |journal=Economy and Society |volume=31 |issue=1 |pages=112-131 |id= |url= |accessdate= |quote=
*cite journal |last=Cross |first=R. |authorlink= |coauthors=Strachan, D. |year=1997 |month= |title=On George Soros and economic analysis |journal=Kyklos |volume=50 |issue= |pages=561-574 |id= |url= |accessdate= |quote=
*cite book |title=The Volatility Machine: Emerging Economies and the Threat of Financial Collapse |last=Pettis |first=Michael |authorlink= |coauthors= |year=2001 |publisher=Oxford University Press |location=Oxford |isbn=0195143302 |pages=
*cite journal |last=Stone |first=Diane |authorlink= |coauthors= |year=2007 |month= |title=Market Principles, Philanthropic Ideals and Public Service Values: The Public Policy Program at the Central European University |journal=PS: Political Science and Politics |volume= |issue= |pages=545—551 |id= |url= |accessdate= |quote=

peeches

* [http://www.nettime.org/Lists-Archives/nettime-l-9809/msg00082.html Testimony of George Soros to a congressional sub-committee, Sept. 15, 1998]
* [http://www.geocities.com/ecocorner/intelarea/gs1.html The Theory of Reflexivity Delivered April 26, 1994 to the MIT Department of Economics World Economy]
* [http://ces.iisc.ernet.in/hpg/ragh/ccs/events2007.htm "The Differences Between Natural and Social Science: Implications of Fallibility" at IISc Bangalore, January 5, 2007]

Commentaries

* [http://www.project-syndicate.org/contributors/contributor_comm.php4?id=27 George Soros' op/ed commentaries] for Project Syndicate

Interviews

* [http://www.wnyc.org/shows/lopate/episodes/2006/06/12/segments/61077 The Leonard Lopate Show (WNYC) - Audio Archive: "George Soros on Freedom"]
* [http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/shows/crash/interviews/soros.html frontline: the crash: interviews: george soros]
* [http://www.pbs.org/wsw/tvprogram/sorosinterview.html Wall $treet Week with FORTUNE . TV Program | PBS]
* [http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_m1093/is_2_42/ai_54259871 Challenge: The international financial crisis - International ...]
* [http://www.pbs.org/now/transcript/transcript_soros.html NOW with Bill Moyers. Transcript. David Brancaccio interviews ...]
* [http://www.booknotes.org/Program/?ProgramID=1769 Booknotes with Brian Lamb. Transcript and streaming video.]
* [http://www.rocketboom.com/soros Rocketboom: The Age of Fallibility (Video, 2006)]
* [http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=6150320548187842685 Google Video: Eric Schmidt, CEO of Google interviews George Soros (Video, 2006)]
* [http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,218233,00.html Fox News Interview with Neil Cavuto, October 11, 2006] Video and text, accessed May 25, 2007.
* [http://imyo.com/component/content/article/10-interview-george-soros.html Interview with George Soros, September 5, 2000]

References

External links

* [http://georgesoros.com/ George Soros official site and blog]
* [http://www.soros.org/ Open Society Institute and Soros Foundations Network]
* [http://campus.fortunecity.com/pot/832/articles.html List of articles and speeches by and about George Soros]
* [http://www.campaignmoney.com/biography/george_soros.asp George Soros' Political Campaign Contributions]
* [http://www.forbes.com/finance/lists/54/2004/LIR.jhtml?passListId=54&passYear=2004&passListType=Person&uniqueId=L9II&datatype=Person Forbes.com: Forbes 400 Richest in America]
* [http://www.stockpickr.com/port/George-Soros/ George Soros's current stock holdings]
* [http://www.livermorereport.com/blogs/georgesoros/ George Soros in SEC Filings]
* [http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2004/10/18/041018fa_fact3?currentPage=1 The Money Man - New Yorker]
* [http://www.aworldtowin.net/reviews/SorosParadigm.html In depth review of The New Paradigm]
* [http://www.tickerspy.com/member.php?mid=-1029160&pid=-1 Soros Funds most recent holdings]

Persondata
NAME= Soros, George
ALTERNATIVE NAMES=Schwartz, György
SHORT DESCRIPTION= speculator, investor, philanthropist, political activist
DATE OF BIRTH= August 12, 1930
PLACE OF BIRTH= Budapest, Hungary
DATE OF DEATH=
PLACE OF DEATH=

Источник: George Soros

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