Книга: John A. Church «Understanding Sea-level Rise and Variability»

Understanding Sea-level Rise and Variability

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Sea-level rise is one of the most obvious manifestations of anthropogenic climate, and it directly threatens coasts as a result of increased erosion, more frequent storm-surge flooding and loss of habitat. However, the wide range of uncertainty in projections of global and regional sea-level rise presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change is a significant hindrance in agreeing to appropriate mitigation levels and in planning adaptation measures. Understanding Sea-Level Rise and Variability identifies the major impacts of sea-level rise, presents up-to-date assessments of past sea-level change, thoroughly explores all of the factors contributing to sea-level rise, and explores how sea-level extreme events might change. It identifies what is known in each area and what research and observations are required to reduce the uncertainties in our understanding of sea-level rise so that more reliable future projections can be made. A synthesis of findings provides a concise summary of past, present and future sea-level rise and its impacts on society. The book is for everyone interested in sea-level rise and its impacts, including policy makers, research funders, scientists, students, coastal managers and engineers.

Издательство: "Wiley" (2010)

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John A. Church

Dr John A. Church is an expert on sea level and its changes. He was Co-convening Lead Author (with Jonathan M. Gregory) for the Chapter on Sea Level in the IPCC Third Assessment Report and a member of the Joint Scientific Committee of the WCRP. He is currently a project leader at CSIRO [http://www.acecrc.org.au/drawpage.cgi?pid=programs&sid=sea_level_rise&aid=797213] .

Biography

Dr. Church is a graduate from the University of Queensland with a BSc in Physics. He later obtained a Doctorate of Philosophy in 1979.

Since that time Dr Church has worked on and led a number of programs with CSIRO Division of Oceanography and was Program Leader of the Oceanography Program (now non-existent), Australian National Antarctic Research Expeditions; former Project Leader, Leader, Southern Ocean Processes Project (now non-existent), CSIRO Division of Marine and atmospherec Research, Polar Waters Program (now-non-existent), Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre. On an international level, Dr Church has been the Principal Investigator for the NASA/CNES TOPEX/POSEIDON Extended Satellite Mission (which is now dead) since 1996. Dr Church is a Member of the Australian Institute of Physics.

Currently, Dr.Church is chair of the scientific committee of the World Climate Research Programme studying sea-level rise and is leader of the Sea level Rise Project at the Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre. (2007)

Publications

Christopher Watson , Richard Coleman , Neil White, John Church and Ramesh Govind , 2003. Absolute Calibration of TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason-1 using GPS Buoys in Bass Strait , Australia . Marine Geodesy (Special Issue on Jason-1 Calibration/Validation, Part 1), 26 (3-4), 285-304. McDougall, T. J., J. A. Church and D. R. Jackett, 2003: Does the nonlinearity of the equation of state impose an upper bound on the buoyancy frequency? Journal of Marine Research, 61, 745-764. Church, J.A. N.J. White, R. Coleman, K. Lambeck, and J.X. Mitrovica, 2004. Estimates of the regional distribution of sea-level rise over the 1950 to 2000 period. Journal of Climate, 17 (13), 2609-2625. Christopher Watson , Richard Coleman , Neil White, John Church and Ramesh Govind , 2004. TOPEX/Poseidon and Jason-1: absolute calibration in Bass Strait , Australia . Marine Geodesy (Special Issue on Jason-1 Calibration/Validation, Part 1), 27 (1-2), 107-131. K.J.E. Walsh, H. Betts, J. Church, A.B. Pittock, K. L. McInnes, D.R. Jackett, T.J. McDougall, 2004 Using sea level rise projections for urban planning in Australia. Journal of Coastal Research, 20(2), 586-598. Yoshikawa, Yasushi, John A. Church, Hiroshi Uchida and Neil J. White, 2004. Near bottom currents and their relation to the transport in the Kuroshio Extension, Geophysical Research Letters, 31(16), L16309, doi:10.1029/2004/GL020068. White, Neil J., John A. Church and Jonathan M. Gregory, 2005. Coastal and global averaged sea-level rise for 1950 to 2000. Geophysical Research Letters, 32(1), L01601, dio:10.1029/2004GL021391. Aoki, Shigeru, Nathaniel L. Bindoff and John A. Church, 2005. Interdecadal water mass changes in the Southern Ocean between 30ºE and 160ºE. Geophysical Research Letters, 32 (7), L07607, 7607-7607 Apr 14 2005 Liu, Yun, Ming Feng, J ohn Church and Dongxiao Wang, 2005. Effect of salinity on estimating geostrophic transport of the Indonesian Throughflow along the IX1 XBT section. Journal of Oceanography, 61, 795-801. John A. Church, Neil J. White and Julie Arblaster, 2005. Significant decadal-scale impact of volcanic eruptions on sea level and ocean heat content. Nature, 438, 74-77 (doi:10.1038/Nature04237). Church, J. A., and N. J. White (2006), A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L01602, doi:10.1029/2005GL024826. Domingues, Catia M., Susan E. Wijffels, Mathew E. Maltrud, John A. Church, Matthias Tomczak, 2006. The role of eddies in cooling the Leeuwin Current, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L05603, doi:10.1029/2005GL025216. Mata, Mauricio M., Susan Wijffels, John A. Church, Matthias Tomczak, 2006. Statistical description of the East Australian Current low-frequency variability from the World Ocean Circulation Experiment PCM3 Current Meter Array. Journal of Marine and Freshwater Research, 57, 273-290. John A. Church, Neil J. White and John R. Hunter, 2006. Sea-level Rise at tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean islands. Global and Planetary Change, 53, 155-168. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2006.04.001 Mata, Mauricio M., Susan E. Wijffels, John A. Church, Matthias Tomczak, 2006. Eddy shedding and energy conversions in the East Australian Current. Journal of Geophysical Research, 111 (C9), C09034 doi:10.1029/2006JC003592. John Church, Neil White, John Hunter and Kathleen McInnes, 2006. Sea Change threatened by climate change. Australasian Science, November/December, 19-22. W. Cai, D. Bi, J. Church, T. Cowan, M. Dix, and L. Rotstayn, 2006. Pan-oceanic response to increasing anthropogenic aerosols: impacts on the Southern Hemisphere oceanic circulation. Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L21707, doi:10.1029/2006GL027513. John A. Church, John R. Hunter, Kathleen McInnes and Neil J. White, 2006. Sea-level rise around the Australian coastline and the changing frequency of extreme events. Australian Meteorological Magazine, 27 (Nov/Dec), 19-22. Church, J., Wilson, S., Woodworth, P. and Aarup, T. 2007. Understanding sea level rise and variability. Meeting report. EOS, Transactions of the American Geophysical Union, 88(4), 23 January 2007, 43.

Quotes

* "Sea levels are expected to rise as a result of global warming with adverse effects on many people living in coastal areas, although the patterns may not be uniform around the globe."
* "Sea-level rise projections for 2100 are several tens of centimetres above 1990 levels but beyond 2100 sea level will continue to rise for centuries after greenhouse gas concentrations have stabilised."

External links

* http://www.atse.org.au/index.php?sectionid=323
* http://www.acecrc.org.au/drawpage.cgi?pid=programs&sid=sea_level_rise&aid=797213
* http://www.marine.csiro.au/media/04releases/20apr04.html
* http://www.csiro.au/index.asp?type=mediaRelease&id=OceanChurch&stylesheet=mediaRelease

Источник: John A. Church

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