Электронная книга: Philip Dawid «Simplicity, Complexity and Modelling»
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Several points of disagreement exist between different modelling traditions as to whether complex models are always better than simpler models, as to how to combine results from different models and how to propagate model uncertainty into forecasts. This book represents the result of collaboration between scientists from many disciplines to show how these conflicts can be resolved. Key Features: Introduces important concepts in modelling, outlining different traditions in the use of simple and complex modelling in statistics. Provides numerous case studies on complex modelling, such as climate change, flood risk and new drug development. Concentrates on varying models, including flood risk analysis models, the petrol industry forecasts and summarizes the evolution of water distribution systems. Written by experienced statisticians and engineers in order to facilitate communication between modellers in different disciplines. Provides a glossary giving terms commonly used in different modelling traditions. This book provides a much-needed reference guide to approaching statistical modelling. Scientists involved with modelling complex systems in areas such as climate change, flood prediction and prevention, financial market modelling and systems engineering will benefit from this book. It will also be a useful source of modelling case histories. Издательство: "John Wiley&Sons Limited"
ISBN: 9781119951452 электронная книга Купить за 9806.65 руб и скачать на Litres |
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Philip Dawid
Infobox Scientist
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birth_date = birth date and age|1946|02|01
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Alexander Philip Dawid (born
He was educated at the
He was lecturer in statistics at University College London from 1969 to 1978. He was then Professor of Statistics at The
He was elected a member of the
Papers
* Spiegelhalter, David J., A. Philip Dawid, Steffen L. Lauritzen and Robert G. Cowell "Bayesian analysis in expert systems" in Statistical Science, 8(3), 1993.
* Robert G. Cowell, A. Philip Dawid, David J. Spiegelhalter, "Sequential Model Criticism in Probabilistic Expert Systems." IEEE Trans. Pattern Anal. Mach. Intell. 15(3), 1993
* A. Philip Dawid, Uffe Kjærulff, Steffen L. Lauritzen, "Hybrid Propagation in Junction Trees." IPMU 1994
ee also
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Источник: Philip Dawid
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