Книга: Gardner Dan «Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction»

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Производитель: "Random House, Inc."

What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? In a twenty-year study, the author showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. However, some people exist with real, demonstrable foresight. This book offers insight into what we can learn from this elite group.

Издательство: "Random House, Inc." (2016)

ISBN: 978-1-84794-715-4

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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of PredictionWhat if we could improve our ability to predict the future? In a twenty-year study, the author showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using… — Random House, Inc., - Подробнее...2016859бумажная книга

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